Nathan MacKinnon vs Scott Laughton
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Laughton 55.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 93.7%
Neutral zone
Laughton 68.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKinnon
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Laughton
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
MacKinnon
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Laughton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
54.5% (488)
-4.8%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
85.7% (7)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
63.4% (142)
-29.0%
On penalty kill, Laughton has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Laughton is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Laughton
Home
53.1% (618)
57.5% (275)
Away
49.1% (609)
56.4% (362)
By Period
MacKinnon
Laughton
P1
49.3%
56.0%
P2
53.0%
61.8%
P3
50.7%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |