Nathan MacKinnon vs Shane Wright
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Wright leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 58.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
MacKinnon
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
MacKinnon
Wright
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
3
4
MacKinnon
Wright
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKinnon
Wright
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
42.7% (1,326)
+3.4%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
45.1% (133)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
33.3% (6)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (3,651).
MacKinnon shoots right. Wright is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Wright
Home
49.7% (6,471)
44.2% (746)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
41.4% (719)
By Period
MacKinnon
Wright
P1
47.4%
44.5%
P2
46.6%
40.5%
P3
46.1%
44.0%
OT
48.4%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Wright
42.0%▬
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:20 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |