Nathan MacKinnon vs Shawn Horcoff
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Horcoff 49.6% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 64.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 67.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
MacKinnon
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
2
3
MacKinnon
Horcoff
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
MacKinnon
Horcoff
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,264)
50.6% (3,133)
-4.5%
Power Play
53.2% (1,421)
51.4% (555)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
43.0% (567)
-0.2%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
MacKinnon shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Home
49.7% (6,471)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
43.9% (6,717)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
MacKinnon
Horcoff
P1
47.4%
48.2%
P2
46.6%
49.5%
P3
46.1%
50.9%
OT
48.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |