Nathan MacKinnon vs Vladislav Namestnikov
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.0% vs Namestnikov 43.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Namestnikov 54.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.5%
Neutral zone
Namestnikov 51.0%
Result
Vladislav Namestnikov favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Namestnikov
0
1
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,038)
39.3% (183)
+10.4%
Power Play
63.7% (157)
53.8% (13)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
30.0% (10)
+4.4%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Namestnikov shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
MacKinnon shoots right. Namestnikov is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
Home
53.1% (618)
42.4% (118)
Away
49.1% (609)
36.4% (88)
By Period
MacKinnon
Namestnikov
P1
49.3%
46.3%
P2
53.0%
30.6%
P3
50.7%
42.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Namestnikov
38.0%▼
40.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Defensive | Vladislav Namestnikov |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |