Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.6% vs Kadri 55.9% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 81.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 65.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Rodrigues
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Kadri
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Rodrigues
Kadri
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Rodrigues
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (224)
55.0% (533)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
63.0% (162)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
54.5% (22)
-6.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Rodrigues is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kadri is 62.8% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kadri
Home
46.2% (130)
62.2% (349)
Away
47.2% (127)
51.6% (368)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kadri
P1
50.0%
57.3%
P2
46.8%
56.5%
P3
43.2%
56.9%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.7%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |