Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McBain 46.7% vs Kadri 48.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 69.6%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.3%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
McBain
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
McBain
Kadri
Last 10: McBain 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
8
McBain
Kadri
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
1
McBain
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
6
5
McBain
Kadri
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McBain
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (2,322)
48.1% (12,555)
+0.0%
Power Play
44.6% (56)
53.0% (1,892)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (309)
41.0% (293)
-5.4%
On power play, Kadri has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. McBain is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,692).
McBain shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
McBain
Kadri
Home
49.1% (1,379)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
44.0% (1,308)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
McBain
Kadri
P1
47.1%
49.1%
P2
47.4%
48.7%
P3
45.4%
47.9%
OT
37.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 11:51 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |