Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Evans wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 55.0% vs Kadri 47.3% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 90.1%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 74.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 83.7%
16.3%
83.7%
Evans
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Evans
Kadri
Last 5: Evans 1-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Evans
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Evans
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (522)
46.9% (848)
+8.7%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
48.8% (86)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (210)
38.5% (13)
+16.7%
On power play, Evans has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Evans shoots right. Kadri is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Evans
Kadri
Home
54.7% (402)
46.5% (495)
Away
56.9% (341)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Evans
Kadri
P1
57.9%
52.6%
P2
55.2%
48.9%
P3
53.6%
40.1%
OT
66.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |