Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Kadri 46.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 89.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 84.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 84.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Hayes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Hayes
Kadri
Last 6: Hayes 0-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Hayes
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
47.2% (1,015)
-10.1%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
41.1% (112)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
17.6% (17)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Hayes
Kadri
Home
36.7% (354)
45.4% (573)
Away
35.8% (327)
46.9% (571)
By Period
Hayes
Kadri
P1
33.6%
48.9%
P2
38.3%
45.2%
P3
37.0%
43.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
36.3%
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 12, 2014 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |