Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.5% vs 47.8%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Bjugstad 48.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 79.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 83.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Kadri
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kadri
Bjugstad
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Bjugstad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
49.4% (867)
-3.2%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
56.0% (25)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
40.7% (216)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Kadri shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Home / Away
Kadri
Bjugstad
Home
47.4% (641)
46.5% (480)
Away
47.6% (593)
48.9% (628)
By Period
Kadri
Bjugstad
P1
46.9%
48.7%
P2
49.5%
45.6%
P3
46.2%
49.1%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 13:45 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |