Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Foligno 49.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 89.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 69.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Kadri
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kadri
Foligno
Last 8: Kadri 1-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Foligno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Kadri
Foligno
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kadri
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
49.5% (291)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
55.8% (43)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
47.2% (53)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kadri
Foligno
Home
45.8% (513)
48.9% (178)
Away
47.6% (452)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kadri
Foligno
P1
52.4%
43.0%
P2
48.5%
55.9%
P3
39.7%
50.0%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |