Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.3% vs Paul 53.6% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 79.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 79.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kadri
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kadri
Paul
Last 5: Kadri 0-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Kadri
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kadri
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (848)
53.7% (354)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
59.0% (61)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
52.9% (34)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kadri is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Kadri shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Kadri
Paul
Home
46.5% (495)
55.1% (216)
Away
47.6% (452)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kadri
Paul
P1
52.6%
54.9%
P2
48.9%
54.5%
P3
40.1%
54.3%
OT
44.4%
44.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |