Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.2%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.3% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 54.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 52.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Kadri
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
Last 7: Kadri 7-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (848)
45.9% (697)
+1.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
47.9% (117)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
48.0% (25)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kadri is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Kadri shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Kadri
Schmaltz
Home
46.5% (495)
44.9% (434)
Away
47.6% (452)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Kadri
Schmaltz
P1
52.6%
41.5%
P2
48.9%
46.7%
P3
40.1%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |