Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.2%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 52.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 53.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kadri
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
Last 7: Kadri 7-0 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
45.9% (697)
+0.6%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
47.9% (117)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
48.0% (25)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Kadri
Schmaltz
Home
45.8% (513)
44.9% (434)
Away
47.6% (452)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Kadri
Schmaltz
P1
52.4%
41.5%
P2
48.5%
46.7%
P3
39.7%
51.1%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |