Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Roy 51.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 75.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Kadri
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Kadri
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Roy
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Kadri
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Kadri
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
51.9% (547)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
54.1% (37)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
53.3% (92)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Kadri
Roy
Home
45.8% (513)
54.0% (328)
Away
47.6% (452)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Kadri
Roy
P1
52.4%
53.5%
P2
48.5%
51.6%
P3
39.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
46.6%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:46 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |