Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 46.6%). Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 60.3%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 53.2%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Kadri
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Kadri
Kapanen
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
0
Kadri
Kapanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Kapanen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Kapanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
46.5% (527)
+0.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
54.8% (42)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
39.5% (38)
-1.0%
On power play, Kapanen has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kapanen
Home
45.8% (513)
47.0% (315)
Away
47.6% (452)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Kadri
Kapanen
P1
52.4%
41.6%
P2
48.5%
50.7%
P3
39.7%
47.6%
OT
44.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 06:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 1 | 04:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |