Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 49.7%). Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.0% vs Dubois 49.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 65.5%
Defensive zone
Dubois 63.6%
Neutral zone
Dubois 51.8%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Kadri
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kadri
Dubois
Last 9: Kadri 5-4 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
2
3
Kadri
Dubois
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (975)
49.3% (842)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.0% (226)
57.1% (35)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
55.6% (9)
+0.0%
On power play, Dubois has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Kadri shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Kadri
Dubois
Home
48.3% (621)
51.0% (445)
Away
49.6% (589)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Kadri
Dubois
P1
48.1%
50.3%
P2
48.9%
49.5%
P3
49.8%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |