Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.3%). Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.3% vs Donato 47.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.7%
Defensive zone
Donato 64.0%
Neutral zone
Donato 51.5%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kadri
Donato
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
0
Kadri
Donato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (848)
46.8% (297)
+0.1%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
41.0% (39)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
100.0% (1)
-61.5%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +61.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
46.5% (495)
45.8% (142)
Away
47.6% (452)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
52.6%
49.5%
P2
48.9%
45.7%
P3
40.1%
43.4%
OT
44.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
34.0%▼
38.0%
47.0%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |