Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Donato 44.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 56.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 76.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 71.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Kadri
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kadri
Donato
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Donato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kadri
Donato
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
2
Kadri
Donato
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
44.0% (1,218)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
46.0% (248)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
41.7% (12)
-0.7%
On power play, Kadri has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Kadri
Donato
Home
49.1% (7,493)
47.2% (743)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Kadri
Donato
P1
49.1%
43.8%
P2
48.7%
44.9%
P3
47.9%
43.7%
OT
49.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:45 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:47 | Neutral | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |