Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.6% vs 47.2%). Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Kadri
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kadri
McLeod
Last 9: Kadri 3-6 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Kadri
McLeod
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
3
Kadri
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
49.0% (827)
-2.5%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
44.0% (91)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
43.0% (272)
-4.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Kadri
McLeod
Home
45.8% (513)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.6% (452)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Kadri
McLeod
P1
52.4%
52.7%
P2
48.5%
43.9%
P3
39.7%
45.8%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:09 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |