Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Carrick 52.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kadri
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Kadri
Carrick
Last 10: Kadri 8-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
8
2
Kadri
Carrick
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
7
Kadri
Carrick
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Kadri
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
52.2% (2,544)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
61.3% (75)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
50.8% (435)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,341).
Kadri shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Kadri
Carrick
Home
49.1% (7,493)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Kadri
Carrick
P1
49.1%
51.8%
P2
48.7%
52.3%
P3
47.9%
52.6%
OT
49.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |