Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 85.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Kadri
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
18
(35 meetings)
17
18
Kadri
Kuraly
Last 10: Kadri 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
10
7
Kadri
Kuraly
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
9
Kadri
Kuraly
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
2
Kadri
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
56.4% (101)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
44.4% (1,091)
-3.4%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Kadri
Kuraly
Home
49.1% (7,493)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Kadri
Kuraly
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
50.0%
P3
47.9%
50.2%
OT
49.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |