Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Crosby 55.1% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 64.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Kadri
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Kadri
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kadri
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kadri
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
53.3% (1,025)
-6.8%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
64.7% (249)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
60.0% (15)
-21.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Crosby is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (914).
Home / Away
Kadri
Crosby
Home
45.8% (513)
56.9% (675)
Away
47.6% (452)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Kadri
Crosby
P1
52.4%
55.1%
P2
48.5%
53.1%
P3
39.7%
58.5%
OT
44.4%
54.2%
Final 5 min
46.6%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |