Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Thompson 45.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 68.8%
Defensive zone
Kadri 52.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kadri
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Kadri
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
44.6% (661)
+1.9%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
48.4% (95)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
33.3% (33)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Kadri
Thompson
Home
45.8% (513)
45.7% (411)
Away
47.6% (452)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Kadri
Thompson
P1
52.4%
47.7%
P2
48.5%
45.7%
P3
39.7%
40.5%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |