Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Nosek 53.6% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 59.1%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 63.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Kadri
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Kadri
Nosek
Last 10: Kadri 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
9
3
Kadri
Nosek
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
8
Kadri
Nosek
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
3
Kadri
Nosek
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
54.9% (2,710)
-6.8%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
45.8% (48)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
47.2% (428)
-6.2%
On power play, Kadri has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Kadri
Nosek
Home
49.1% (7,493)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Kadri
Nosek
P1
49.1%
52.2%
P2
48.7%
54.1%
P3
47.9%
54.7%
OT
49.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 3 | 06:32 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:42 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |