Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kadri wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 62.5%
Defensive zone
Kadri 90.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 85.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Kadri
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kadri
Zegras
Last 10: Kadri 7-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
1
2
Kadri
Zegras
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
2
Kadri
Zegras
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (12,555)
39.0% (1,703)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
38.5% (148)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
25.0% (8)
+16.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Kadri shoots left. Zegras is 39.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
Home / Away
Kadri
Zegras
Home
49.1% (7,493)
40.5% (908)
Away
48.1% (7,250)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Kadri
Zegras
P1
49.1%
40.0%
P2
48.7%
38.6%
P3
47.9%
38.2%
OT
49.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 10, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 06:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |