Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Seguin 52.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 56.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 85.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 67.4%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Kadri
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Kadri
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
53.2% (201)
-6.7%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
60.0% (25)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
44.4% (9)
-5.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Kadri is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Kadri shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Kadri
Seguin
Home
45.8% (513)
56.3% (126)
Away
47.6% (452)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Kadri
Seguin
P1
52.4%
44.3%
P2
48.5%
52.1%
P3
39.7%
62.5%
OT
44.4%
80.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |