Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.7% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 54.6%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 85.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 60.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Kadri
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Kadri
Karlsson
Last 9: Kadri 5-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
1
Kadri
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Kadri
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,005)
55.3% (897)
-9.1%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
61.1% (113)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
50.8% (132)
-24.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +24.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kadri is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (793).
Kadri shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Kadri
Karlsson
Home
47.4% (641)
58.6% (560)
Away
47.6% (593)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Kadri
Karlsson
P1
46.9%
55.8%
P2
49.5%
55.6%
P3
46.2%
55.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:50 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:19 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |