Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Kadri wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.9% vs Gourde 46.0% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 76.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 53.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Kadri
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kadri
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Kadri
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (866)
47.2% (687)
-0.7%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
45.0% (20)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
33.0% (88)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Kadri shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gourde
Home
45.8% (513)
44.4% (356)
Away
47.6% (452)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kadri
Gourde
P1
52.4%
42.2%
P2
48.5%
50.0%
P3
39.7%
44.5%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |