Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Dowd 48.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 85.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.3%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kindel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kindel
Dowd
Last 6: Kindel 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kindel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Kindel
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
51.2% (666)
-8.1%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
0.0% (2)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On power play, Kindel has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kindel is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Kindel shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Kindel
Dowd
Home
45.0% (291)
48.5% (466)
Away
43.0% (284)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Kindel
Dowd
P1
40.6%
48.4%
P2
46.1%
46.8%
P3
41.5%
51.3%
OT
92.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |