Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.3% vs Dowd 48.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 91.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 55.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 79.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Compher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Compher
Dowd
Last 10: Compher 7-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
1
Compher
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
7
4
Compher
Dowd
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (784)
51.2% (666)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
0.0% (2)
+54.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (95)
41.5% (224)
-4.7%
On power play, Compher has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Compher shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Compher
Dowd
Home
51.3% (452)
48.5% (466)
Away
51.5% (458)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Compher
Dowd
P1
54.9%
48.4%
P2
49.0%
46.8%
P3
50.6%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:53 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:26 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |