Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Drury wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Drury leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 96.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 88.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 86.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 92.7%
92.7%
7.3%
Drury
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Drury
Dowd
Last 10: Drury 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
15
1
Drury
Dowd
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
7
Drury
Dowd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drury
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (2,010)
52.3% (6,036)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
56.1% (164)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (300)
44.1% (1,638)
+8.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drury is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (841).
Drury shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowd
Home
57.9% (1,234)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
56.7% (1,194)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Drury
Dowd
P1
55.9%
51.5%
P2
58.7%
50.4%
P3
57.1%
50.3%
OT
62.5%
45.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
57.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |