Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Paul 53.6% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Paul 79.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Dowd
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
53.7% (354)
-2.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
59.0% (61)
-59.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
52.9% (34)
-11.4%
On power play, Paul has a +59.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Paul is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Dowd
Paul
Home
48.2% (471)
55.1% (216)
Away
48.8% (426)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Dowd
Paul
P1
48.3%
54.9%
P2
46.8%
54.5%
P3
51.0%
54.3%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%