Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 85.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dowd
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dowd
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Dowd
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Schmaltz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
45.9% (697)
+5.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
47.9% (117)
-47.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
48.0% (25)
-6.5%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Dowd
Schmaltz
Home
48.2% (471)
44.9% (434)
Away
48.8% (426)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Dowd
Schmaltz
P1
48.3%
41.5%
P2
46.8%
46.7%
P3
51.0%
51.1%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |