Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Zacha 51.8% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 70.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Dowd
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
53.0% (700)
-2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.1% (109)
-54.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
39.2% (74)
+2.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Zacha is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zacha
Home
48.2% (471)
51.6% (438)
Away
48.8% (426)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Dowd
Zacha
P1
48.3%
57.0%
P2
46.8%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.5%
OT
30.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%