Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Kurashev 46.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 60.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Dowd
Kurashev
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Dowd
Kurashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Kurashev
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Kurashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kurashev
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
50.0% (46)
+1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
40.7% (27)
-40.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
0.0% (6)
+41.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kurashev shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Kurashev is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kurashev
Home
48.2% (471)
37.5% (40)
Away
48.8% (426)
48.7% (39)
By Period
Dowd
Kurashev
P1
48.3%
48.6%
P2
46.8%
40.0%
P3
51.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:26 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |