Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.8% vs Danault 54.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 88.1%
Defensive zone
Danault 61.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 77.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Dowd
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Danault
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Dowd
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
56.2% (745)
-5.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
45.1% (51)
-45.1%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
51.6% (124)
-10.1%
On power play, Danault has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Dowd is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Dowd shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Dowd
Danault
Home
48.5% (466)
56.7% (402)
Away
48.8% (426)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Dowd
Danault
P1
48.4%
55.5%
P2
46.8%
54.2%
P3
51.3%
55.2%
OT
30.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |