Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Danault 53.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 86.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Dowd
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Dowd
Danault
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
10
Dowd
Danault
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
3
Dowd
Danault
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
3
5
Dowd
Danault
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
53.6% (9,481)
-1.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
61.3% (758)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
47.4% (1,710)
-3.3%
On power play, Danault has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Danault is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (4,047).
Home / Away
Dowd
Danault
Home
51.9% (3,917)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Dowd
Danault
P1
51.5%
53.7%
P2
50.4%
53.4%
P3
50.3%
52.7%
OT
45.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 06:51 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |