Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Suter 46.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Suter 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dowd
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Dowd
Suter
Last 10: Dowd 7-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
2
4
Dowd
Suter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
1
Dowd
Suter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suter
4
5
Dowd
Suter
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
46.2% (3,223)
+6.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
53.0% (281)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
40.1% (307)
+4.0%
On even strength, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Suter is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,406).
Home / Away
Dowd
Suter
Home
51.9% (3,917)
46.7% (1,823)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
45.7% (1,988)
By Period
Dowd
Suter
P1
51.5%
46.6%
P2
50.4%
46.0%
P3
50.3%
46.0%
OT
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | OT | 00:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Pius Suter |