Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 97.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 52.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 85.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Dowd
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Dowd
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
58.7% (530)
-7.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
59.4% (170)
-59.4%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
66.7% (27)
-25.2%
On power play, Hintz has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Hintz is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hintz
Home
48.2% (471)
60.2% (354)
Away
48.8% (426)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Dowd
Hintz
P1
48.3%
58.4%
P2
46.8%
59.8%
P3
51.0%
58.2%
OT
30.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |