Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.2%). Look for Colton on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Colton 51.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 89.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.2%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Dowd
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowd
Colton
Last 6: Dowd 1-5 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
4
Dowd
Colton
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
51.6% (1,803)
+0.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
48.8% (162)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
34.5% (29)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Colton is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Dowd
Colton
Home
51.9% (3,917)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Dowd
Colton
P1
51.5%
53.7%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
50.3%
47.9%
OT
45.9%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Ross Colton |