Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Hartman 48.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 91.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 57.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 59.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Dowd
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Dowd
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Dowd
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
48.1% (520)
+4.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
44.7% (47)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
47.8% (23)
-3.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Hartman is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hartman
Home
51.5% (619)
48.3% (360)
Away
48.1% (576)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Dowd
Hartman
P1
51.7%
48.5%
P2
51.6%
45.2%
P3
47.0%
49.6%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:17 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |