Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs McLeod 47.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 63.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 54.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Dowd
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
49.0% (827)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
44.0% (91)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
43.0% (272)
-1.5%
On power play, McLeod has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Dowd
McLeod
Home
48.2% (471)
48.5% (619)
Away
48.8% (426)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Dowd
McLeod
P1
48.3%
52.7%
P2
46.8%
43.9%
P3
51.0%
45.8%
OT
30.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |