Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Helenius 46.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Helenius leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Helenius 86.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.5%
Neutral zone
Helenius 51.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Dowd
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Dowd
Helenius
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Helenius
0
1
Dowd
Helenius
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Helenius
2
3
Dowd
Helenius
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
46.3% (488)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
0.0% (2)
+56.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
20.0% (5)
+24.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +56.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Dowd shoots right. Helenius is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Dowd
Helenius
Home
51.9% (3,917)
44.5% (272)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
47.5% (223)
By Period
Dowd
Helenius
P1
51.5%
50.6%
P2
50.4%
40.1%
P3
50.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Helenius
46.0%▬
46.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |