Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Couturier 53.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 77.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.4%
Neutral zone
Couturier 63.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Dowd
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Couturier
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Dowd
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
53.9% (792)
-2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
62.9% (70)
-62.9%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
51.3% (234)
-9.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +62.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Dowd
Couturier
Home
48.2% (471)
51.4% (541)
Away
48.8% (426)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Dowd
Couturier
P1
48.3%
56.0%
P2
46.8%
52.6%
P3
51.0%
54.3%
OT
30.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |