Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Crosby 55.1% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 95.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 73.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 74.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Dowd
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
53.3% (1,025)
-2.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.7% (249)
-64.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
60.0% (15)
-18.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +64.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
48.2% (471)
56.9% (675)
Away
48.8% (426)
54.1% (614)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
48.3%
55.1%
P2
46.8%
53.1%
P3
51.0%
58.5%
OT
30.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Crosby
46.0%▼
54.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 14:55 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 16:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |