Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Blueger 48.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Blueger 52.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 71.6%
Neutral zone
Blueger 56.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dowd
Blueger
Last 9: Dowd 4-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
2
Dowd
Blueger
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
49.4% (265)
+1.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
66.7% (9)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
34.0% (50)
+7.5%
On power play, Blueger has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
48.2% (471)
49.8% (215)
Away
48.8% (426)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
48.3%
46.4%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
51.0%
44.8%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 16:20 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |