Scouting Report
Tim Stützle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Stützle 52.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 92.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.1%
Neutral zone
Stützle 62.3%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Dowd
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Stützle
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Dowd
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Stützle
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
52.7% (501)
-1.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
54.2% (59)
-54.2%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
56.3% (32)
-14.8%
On power play, Stützle has a +54.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Dowd shoots right. Stützle is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Dowd
Stützle
Home
48.2% (471)
51.9% (285)
Away
48.8% (426)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Dowd
Stützle
P1
48.3%
51.6%
P2
46.8%
55.4%
P3
51.0%
52.2%
OT
30.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |