Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Bozak 46.2% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 77.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 57.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Dowd
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dowd
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Dowd
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
46.7% (338)
+8.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (6)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
32.6% (43)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Dowd
Bozak
Home
58.2% (462)
47.9% (194)
Away
49.3% (481)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Dowd
Bozak
P1
55.6%
40.2%
P2
50.5%
51.4%
P3
53.9%
43.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |