Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.6% vs Seguin 52.5% (-5.1%)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 77.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Dowd
Seguin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (671)
53.2% (201)
-2.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (25)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (224)
44.4% (9)
-2.9%
On power play, Seguin has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Dowd
Seguin
Home
48.2% (471)
56.3% (126)
Away
48.8% (426)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Dowd
Seguin
P1
48.3%
44.3%
P2
46.8%
52.1%
P3
51.0%
62.5%
OT
30.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%