Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 49.9%). Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Nylander 49.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Nylander leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Nylander 94.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.4%
Result
William Nylander favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Dowd
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Dowd
Nylander
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
7
Dowd
Nylander
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Nylander
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Nylander
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (6,036)
50.2% (1,874)
+2.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
46.7% (229)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,638)
54.8% (31)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Dowd shoots right. Nylander is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (611).
Home / Away
Dowd
Nylander
Home
51.9% (3,917)
51.3% (1,186)
Away
49.5% (3,922)
48.1% (948)
By Period
Dowd
Nylander
P1
51.5%
51.1%
P2
50.4%
45.6%
P3
50.3%
53.1%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Nylander
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2024 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:46 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 04:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |